Real estate prices have really increased in all segments, even in the extreme luxury segment. Good-grade bungalows (GCBs) were all the rage in 2021, from $ 144 million transactions in 48 hours (in July) to news about tech billionaires developing a thing for them.
There’s also a good chance the GCB trend will continue for quite a while as Covid-19 continues to wreak havoc. Here’s what happens:
GCB transaction volume close to last highs of 2010
The last high for GCBs was in 2010 when transactions totaled $ 1.85 billion with around 101 transactions. For comparison: In the first half of 2021 alone, around $ 2.05 billion in transactions were made with 68 transactions.
The contrast is even sharper between 2020 and 2021. Last year, the total GCB deals with 21 transactions only reached around $ 415.8 million. On an annual basis (January to August), GCB prices averaged $ 1,391 psf in 2021, but have since increased to around $ 1,713 psf.
The high point of the year came in July, when four GCBs completed transactions valued at approximately $ 36 million each in 48 hours. These goods:
- Binjai Park ($ 1,318 psf)
- Swettenham Road ($ 1,954 psf)
- Coronation West Road (no reservation made)
- Olive Road ($ 1,536)
Meanwhile, the most expensive GCB deal of the year was on Nassim Road, where a 32,160-square-foot home ran for $ 128.8 million, or around $ 4,005 psf.
It was also found that most buyers appear to be in technology-related companies in 2021. For example, the record breaking Nassim Road GCB was bought by the wife of the head of Nanofilm Technologies, Shi Xu.
Secretlab founder Ian Ang bought a GCB on Caldecott Hill, while Razer CEO Tan Min-Liang bought a unit on Third Avenue.
There doesn’t seem to be a specific reason why tech entrepreneurs are more attracted to real estate these days. However, some theories we’ve heard have a more stable component in their overall portfolio, cheap leverage, and funding options like home equity loans.
(This refers to taking out a loan on the valued property at a very low interest rate).
How much have GCB prices moved since 2010?
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Since GCB transactions are rare, it is not easy to get a feel for the general price movement. However, we can see that Cluny and Nassim did the best.
In September 2011, a GCB in Cluny Hill traded for only $ 1,246 psf. At the same time in 2015, every nearby GCB had been trading at a price of $ 1,425, and the last transaction in December 2020 hit $ 2,315 psf.
In September 2016 and October 2017, two GCBs processed transactions along Nassim Road for $ 1,423 and $ 1,372, respectively.
But in September 2020 and March 2021, two GCBs along Nassim Road managed to hit $ 1,831 and $ 4,005 psf.
While prices appear to have increased in almost all 39 GCB areas, the increase is not proportionate.
For example, King Albert Park recorded a GCB transaction in February 2011 at $ 1,194 psf. Another transaction in the same area in February 2017 was only $ 1,117 psf, while the most recent deals (August and September this year) were $ 1,244 psf and $ 1,108 psf.
Why the rise in good class bungalows in 2021?
The reasons are similar to the general increase in real estate that we covered in a previous article. In summary, however, it should be noted that the last high for GCBs was in 2010 when the recovery from the financial crisis of 08/09 occurred.
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We have seen investors like to view Singapore real estate – especially condominiums – as a safe haven in volatile times. With the supply of GCBs limited to only the 39 areas in Singapore, there appears to be little supply to meet the demand for such luxurious country living in Singapore.
That being said, agents have noted that the surge among tech industry buyers may be related to work from home agreements and lockdowns (worldwide, not just Singapore).
This is leading to a surge in digital entertainment and media, and the owners of these businesses are likely looking for a safe place to park their windfall. There have also been people who have made an incredible amount of money from crypto, and due to the lack of offerings in GCBs, these have also contributed to the increased demand.
Since the ultra-rich will have no problems with financing, the property does not “lock” their capital as much as many normal buyers. For example, it is quite common for the ultra-rich to take advantage of financing options such as home equity loans to borrow at low interest rates on their real estate; This enables them to quickly reinvest in other assets.
There are surprisingly good rental prospects for GCBs
It is often said that real estate is bad for rental returns. This tends to be the case for more common real estate, with gross rental returns often two percent or less.
However, GCBs tend to outperform their regular counterparts and can achieve returns of nearly three percent. For example, in 2020 we saw GCB’s rental rates hit records of $ 75,000 to $ 85,000 per month; while the record for 2021 is $ 150,000 per month.
This is aided in part by restrictions on foreign ownership. Only Singaporeans can buy real estate such as GCBs (subject to special permission). Foreigners can only buy land for rent in Sentosa Cove, which has not been a popular area in recent years.
(However, renewed land demand this year could turn the fortunes of Sentosa Cove into a reversal.)
With record lows averaging 1.3 percent per year, owners who rent their GCBs will find it easy to cover interest and upkeep.
Although GCBs are out of most budget ranges, conventional real estate may not be as expensive as you think
We’ve rounded up some of the cheapest lots you can find in Singapore. For those of you who are pure homebuyers, check out the leasehold market – prices haven’t gone up that high here, but many offer the same level of comfort in terms of lifestyle.
This article was first published in Stackedhomes.